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EUR/USD runs into confluence of Fibo level

The bid tone around EUR recovered in Asia, pushing the EUR/USD pair to confluence of Fibo levels at 1.1257 (61.8% of 1.1714-1.0517) + 1.1253 (100% Fibo of 1.0517-1.1060-1.0711).

USD supported by rate hike talks

The spot is having a hard time taking out offers around the confluence of Fibo levels, given the USD shorts are being squared off after several key Fed officials made mildly hawkish remarks. Increased possibility of a sooner than expected rate hike is restricting further gains in the pair.

Ahead in the day, traders could take cues from German IFO number and preliminary PMI readings in Europe. Across the pond, regional Fed manufacturing index is due for release, followed by Fed’s Evans speech.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

The spot currently trades around 1.1253. A convincing break above hurdle at 1.1257 (61.8% of 1.1714-1.0517) + 1.1253 (100% Fibo of 1.0517-1.1060-1.0711) would turn attention to 1.13 and 1.1342 (Mar 16 high). Conversely prices may drop to 1.1182 (10-DMA) support if spot cuts through 5-DMA level of 1.1229. Below 10-DMA, the pair may extend losses to 1.1115 (50% of 1.1714-1.0517).

RBA Stevens: AUD may be getting ahead of itself

AUD may be getting ahead of itself said RBA's Stevens in the Q&A, adding that it's hard to find a central bank that would prefer a higher currency. Stevens also said there's too much being asked of central banks to restore growth.
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EUR/USD: Limited retracement likely - SocGen

According to Societe General, graphical level at 1.1460 will be important hurdle for EUR/USD, concluding that the current bullish retracement is likely to be limited.
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